Conferences and events
15 May 2026 - Data supporting gender statistics. A focus on violence against women.Dr. Maria Giuseppina MURATORE - ISTAT - Central Directorate of Demographic Statistics and Census
In Collaboration with Department of Statistical Science
13 May 2026 - From adverse outcome prediction to e-health indicators of frailty in older populations
Prof. Giovanna BOCCUZZO - Full Professor of Social Statistics - University of Padua.
This contribution presents a framework for constructing a health-related frailty index based on the best prediction of multiple adverse events, such as death, hospitalisation, dementia, disability, and others. The index is intended to measure the level of frailty across the entire older population of a Local Health Authority or a region, using administrative healthcare data. This objective is motivated by events that have made it particularly important to assess population frailty (COVID-19, heatwaves) and to implement stratification approaches that identify individuals at higher risk of adverse health outcomes.
Frailty is a latent and multidimensional concept and, as such, is not directly measurable. A widely adopted criterion for its assessment is to consider the main health outcomes more frequently experienced by frail individuals and, from these, to identify a core set of explanatory variables for such outcomes, which can then be used to build the frailty index.
From a methodological perspective, this process entails several challenges:
1. identifying the most representative set of health outcomes, as redundant or overly limited sets may lead to the selection of an inadequate core of variables for the index;
2. identifying a statistical approach that yields the best subset of predictors for multiple outcomes simultaneously;
3. identifying an appropriate index construction procedure, given that it relies on dichotomous and ordinal variables, for which conventional aggregation methods are not suitable. In this work, the use of POSET theory (Partial Order Theory) is proposed;
4. proposing an approach that results in an index based on a limited number of variables, so that it can be easily computed within Health Authorities;
5. proposing a method that is as data-independent as possible, avoiding, for example, fixed weights to be assigned to the variables included in the index;
6. proposing methods for comparing populations.
The contribution presents the methodological solutions adopted, the results obtained, and the research questions that remain open.
References:
Silan M., Nicolaio M., Boccuzzo G. (2025) Profiling Frailty: A parsimonious Frailty Index from health administrative data based on POSET theory. arXiv:2506.23158 [stat. AP]. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2506.23158M.
Silan, M. Nicolaio, E. Banzato, G. Boccuzzo. (2025). "Identifying core adverse health outcomes for frailty assessment in older adults using administrative data". Frontiers in medicine, 12, doi: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1678317.
Silan, M., Signorin, G., Ferracin, E., Listorti E., Spadea T., Costa G., Boccuzzo G. (2022) Construction of a Frailty Indicator with Partially Ordered Sets: A Multiple-Outcome Proposal Based on Administrative Healthcare Data. Social Indicators Research, 160, 989–1017. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-020-02512-7.
Silan, M., Caperna, G. & Boccuzzo, G. Quantifying Frailty in Older People at an Italian Local Health Unit: A Proposal Based on Partially Ordered Sets. Social Indicators Research, 146, 757–782 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-019-02142-8.
11 March 2026 - Presentation of the research: "Who leaves and who arrives. Migratory dynamics between Lombardy, Italy and Europe"
Presentation: Francesca Luppi
Discussion: Paolo Anselmi, Alessia Cappello, Carlo Cottarelli, Valeria Blacks, Alessandro Rosina and Sergio Satriano.
24 January 2026 - Demographic perspectives and network of educational services for children 0-6 years old in the province of Treviso. Policy indications.
Simonetta Rubinato - President of Fism Treviso - The reasons for research.
Alessandro Rosina - Full Professor of Demography and Social Statistics, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart - Presentation of the report.
Andrea Mamprin - Statistician - Focus on the budgets of the private preschools associated with Fism Treviso.
Danilo Ballanti - IFEL Fondazione Anci - Towards 33% coverage of nurseries: the objectives assigned to the Municipalities.
Luca Antonini - Vice-President of the Constitutional Court - The added value of horizontal subsidiarity and the principle of constitutional equality.
Stefano Cecchin - President of Fism Veneto - The proposals to the politics of Fism Veneto.
Trento Festival of Economics 2025, various editions, including the current one
15 May 2025 - Demographic Challenges in the Mediterranean: Ageing, Fertility Trends, and Migration Dynamics
Prof. Elena AMBROSETTI - Full professor of Demography - University of Rome La Sapienza.
The seminar will provide a comparative overview of the demographic evolution of the Mediterranean populations. I will address the main demographic issues since 1950 such as fertility, mortality, growth, demographic aging, and the age structure of the population. I will discuss the major demographic changes and its consequences for the Mediterranean region and describe the socio-economic and societal opportunities such as the silver economy, improvement in health of the population, and progress in education.
In Collaboration with Department of Statistical Science
4 April 2025 - Family Ties and Older People's Well-Being: evidence and Methodological Challenges
Prof. Bruno ARPINO - Full Professor of Social Statistics - University of Padova.
Demographic transformations such as population aging, declining fertility, increasing migration, and shifts in marriage and partnership patterns are reshaping family structures and intergenerational relationships. As a result, older adults are experiencing new family dynamics, including rising kinlessness and evolving roles within multigenerational networks. Understanding how these changes impact the well-being of older people is crucial for both researchers and policymakers.
This seminar will explore the complex relationship between family ties and older adults' well-being, drawing on empirical studies of changing family structures and relationships. Particular attention will be given to the role of grandparental childcare—an increasingly significant aspect of intergenerational support. I will discuss the potential benefits and challenges of this caregiving role, including its implications for grandparents' health and well-being.
A key methodological challenge in this area of research is establishing causal relationships between grandparental childcare and older people's well-being. In the final part of the seminar, I will review the most commonly used statistical methods for causal inference and present the results of a small simulation study comparing their performance. The seminar will conclude with a discussion on future research directions, including the potential of machine learning techniques for advancing this field and the bidirectional link between family relationships and older adults' engagement with digital technologies.
18 March 2024 - Intesa San Paolo, "Society in the making: new needs, new opportunities, new paradigms"
14 September 2024 - Cavalieri del Lavoro, National Conference, Bari, "The Future of Work"
Trieste Next, Festival of scientific research 2024
8 June 2022 "Looking4" 30 years of Fondazione Cariplo, a day dedicated to the theme "THE RIGHT AGE AT ALL AGES. Demographic challenges, people's well-being, hospitality, community pact".
On 3-4 November 2016, the Scientific Conference on NEETs promoted by the Toniolo Institute, LSA-Università Cattolica and Fondazione Cariplo was held in Milan.
22 February 2015 Young Italians and the future: what prospects?
08 September 2014 Investing in those who have lost their jobs
14 July 2014 ISFOL Not always mobile
23 May 2014 The Youth Condition in Italy Como
09 May 2014 The Youth Condition in Italy Turin
05 May 2014 Is Europe still our future?
07 April 2014 With the Young Protagonists of the Future
02 April 2014 Applied Demography
02 April 2014 Economic and social challenges for Active Ageing
13 February 2014 Presentation of the book Applied Demography
11 February 2014 Young Italians work TEDxIED
24 January - 1 February 2014 3rd Forum of Social Policies16 January 2014 Long Life Opportunity
05 December 2013 Quality Financial Education
22 November 2013 Presentation of the Youth Report
18 November 2013 Presentation of the Youth Report
18 May 2013 National Social Security Day
17 April 2013 Promotional welfare: the experimental model of financial education of the citizen
30 January 2013 Financial Education of Citizens
26 January 2013 New Generations Communications Future
15 November 2012 III International Forum on Financial Consulting and Education
25 October 2012 Observatory on Emotional Distress of Telefono Amico Italia.